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글로벌 피지컬 로봇 시장 조사

by aiproductmanager 2025. 3. 11.
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1.시장 규모 및 성장률

글로벌 피지컬 로봇 시장 규모 및 성장 동향:

  • 시장 규모:
    2020년 글로벌 로봇(산업용 및 서비스 로봇 포함) 시장은 약 550억 달러 규모로 추정되었습니다. 2020년의 팬데믹 영향에도 불구하고 시장은 빠르게 회복되어 2022년에는 약 600억 달러, 2023년에는 약 710억 달러 규모로 성장했습니다. 여러 보고서는 2025년에는 약 100.6억 달러, 2030년에는 약 178.6억 달러에 이를 것으로 전망하며, 연평균 성장률(CAGR)은 약 12~18%에 이를 것으로 예측합니다.
  • 부문별 성장:
    • 산업용 로봇: 전 세계 산업용 로봇 판매는 가장 큰 비중을 차지하며, 2021년에는 약 423억 달러 이상의 매출을 기록했습니다. 산업용 로봇의 설치 건수는 2021년에 사상 최고치를 기록했으며, 특히 아시아 지역에서 강력한 성장을 보였습니다.
    • 서비스 로봇: 전문 서비스 로봇과 소비자용 서비스 로봇 모두 빠르게 성장 중입니다. 2020년 전문 서비스 로봇 매출은 약 67억 달러, 소비자용은 약 44억 달러였으며, 2021년 전문 서비스 로봇은 37% 이상의 성장률을 보였습니다.
    • 의료 로봇: 의료 분야(주로 수술 로봇 등) 역시 꾸준한 성장세를 보이고 있으며, 2021년 약 1만 4823대의 의료 로봇이 판매되었습니다.
  • 지역별 시장 점유율:
    아시아는 산업용 로봇의 약 73%를 설치하며 시장을 주도하고 있습니다. 특히 중국은 2021년 전 세계 산업용 로봇 설치 건수의 50% 이상(약 26만 8천 대)을 차지하며, 일본, 미국, 한국, 독일 등이 그 뒤를 잇습니다. 서비스 로봇 분야에서는 유럽이 38%, 북미가 32%, 아시아가 30% 정도의 매출을 기록하며 각 지역별 강점을 보입니다.

2. 주요 기업

글로벌 피지컬 로봇 시장은 오랜 전통의 산업 자동화 업체와 혁신적인 신생 기업들이 함께 경쟁하고 있습니다.

  • ABB (스위스):
    산업용 로봇 부문에서 선도적 위치를 차지하며, 2020년대 초부터 최신 대형 로봇 모델과 자율 이동 기능을 갖춘 로봇 솔루션을 지속적으로 출시하고 있습니다. 또한, ASTI Mobile Robotics와 같은 기업 인수를 통해 자율 이동 로봇(AMR) 분야도 확장하고 있습니다.
  • Fanuc (일본):
    대표적인 산업용 로봇 제조사로, 다양한 로봇 모델(작은 SCARA부터 중대형 로봇까지)을 보유하고 있으며, 자동차 및 전자 산업에서 강력한 입지를 가지고 있습니다.
  • Yaskawa Electric (일본):
    주로 용접, 조립, 페인팅 작업 등에 사용되는 로봇을 제공하며, 모션 컨트롤 시스템과 통합 솔루션을 통해 글로벌 시장에서 중요한 역할을 하고 있습니다.
  • KUKA (독일):
    유럽 내 산업용 로봇 분야를 선도하며, 자동차 제조 및 물류 분야에서 강력한 솔루션을 제공합니다. 2016년 중국의 미디어 그룹에 인수된 후 중국 시장에도 집중하고 있습니다.
  • Mitsubishi Electric (일본) 및 Denso (일본):
    두 기업 모두 공장 자동화 및 전자 제조 분야에서 중요한 역할을 하고 있으며, 특히 정밀 조립 및 소규모 로봇 분야에서 강점을 보입니다.
  • Universal Robots (덴마크):
    인간과 안전하게 협업할 수 있는 협동 로봇(코봇) 시장에서 선두주자로, 중소기업에서 쉽게 도입할 수 있는 제품군을 제공합니다.
  • Intuitive Surgical (미국):
    의료 로봇, 특히 수술 로봇 분야에서 독보적인 시장 점유율을 보유하며, 전 세계 7500대 이상의 da Vinci 수술 시스템을 통해 최소 침습 수술 분야를 주도하고 있습니다.
  • DJI (중국):
    상업용 및 소비자용 드론 분야의 절대적인 리더로, 70% 이상의 글로벌 드론 시장 점유율을 기록하고 있습니다.
  • iRobot (미국):
    대표적인 소비자용 로봇(예: Roomba) 제조사로, 전 세계 가정용 청소 로봇 시장에서 큰 영향력을 행사하고 있습니다.
  • Boston Dynamics (미국):
    첨단 다리 로봇(예: Spot, Atlas)으로 유명하며, 최근에는 물류 및 산업 현장에서 상용화 제품을 출시하며 산업용 분야로 진출하고 있습니다.

또한, 중국 내에서는 Siasun, Estun, Efort 등과 같은 로봇 제조업체들이 빠르게 성장하고 있으며, 미국과 유럽에서도 다양한 스타트업 및 중견기업이 혁신적인 로봇 솔루션을 개발하고 있습니다.


3. 기술 트렌드

최근 5년간 로봇 기술은 다음과 같은 주요 트렌드를 보였습니다.

  • 인공지능 및 머신러닝의 적용:
    AI와 딥러닝 기술이 로봇의 자율성, 컴퓨터 비전, 의사결정 능력을 크게 향상시켰습니다. 실시간 데이터 처리와 머신러닝 알고리즘 덕분에 로봇은 복잡한 환경에서도 물체 인식, 경로 최적화, 품질 검사 등을 수행할 수 있게 되었습니다.
  • 연결성 강화 (IoT, 5G, 클라우드 로보틱스):
    로봇이 네트워크에 연결되어 데이터를 클라우드에 전송하거나, 중앙 집중식 관리 시스템과 실시간으로 소통할 수 있게 되었습니다. 5G 도입으로 무선 제어 및 로봇 간의 협업이 강화되었으며, 디지털 트윈 기술을 통해 가상 환경에서 로봇 동작을 최적화하는 시도도 이루어지고 있습니다.
  • 협업 로봇 (코봇)의 급성장:
    사람과 안전하게 함께 작업할 수 있는 협업 로봇이 보편화되고 있으며, 중소기업 및 다양한 산업 분야에서 빠르게 채택되고 있습니다. 코봇은 간단한 프로그래밍과 사용 편의성 덕분에 기존 대형 로봇에 비해 설치 장벽이 낮습니다.
  • 자율 이동 로봇 (AMR) 및 물류 자동화:
    물류창고, 병원, 공장 등에서 자율 이동 로봇이 빠르게 도입되고 있습니다. 최신 AMR은 LiDAR, 카메라, 센서 퓨전을 통해 동적 환경에서 안전하게 이동할 수 있으며, 여러 로봇이 네트워크를 통해 협업하는 ‘스웜(cooperative)’ 기술도 발전하고 있습니다.
  • 고급 센서와 인식 기술:
    고해상도 3D 카메라, 깊이 센서, 촉각 센서 등의 발전으로 로봇의 환경 인식 능력이 크게 개선되었습니다. 이로 인해 정밀한 조립, 품질 검사, 미세 작업 등이 가능해졌습니다.
  • 특수 목적 로봇의 등장:
    휴머노이드, 웨어러블 로봇(엑소스켈레톤), 드론, 수중 로봇 등 다양한 분야에서 새로운 형태의 로봇이 등장하고 있습니다. 특히, Tesla의 Optimus와 같이 인간과 유사한 동작을 구현하려는 시도도 계속되고 있습니다.

4. 투자 및 경제적 영향

투자 동향:
최근 5년간 벤처 캐피털 및 사모펀드, 그리고 기업 투자자들이 로봇 스타트업에 약 900억 달러 이상의 자금을 투자했습니다. 특히 2021년과 2022년에는 자금 유입이 기록적인 수준이었으나, 2023년에는 다소 냉각되는 양상을 보였습니다. 주요 투자 사례로는 SoftBank Vision Fund의 대규모 투자, Amazon의 iRobot 인수 등이 있습니다.

경제적 영향:

  • 생산성 향상:
    로봇 도입은 24시간 연속 가동, 높은 정확성, 품질 개선 등으로 제조업의 생산성을 크게 향상시켰습니다. 여러 연구에 따르면, 로봇의 추가 설치는 지역별 노동시장에서 평균적으로 몇 개의 일자리를 대체하지만, 장기적으로는 새로운 기술 분야의 일자리와 경제 성장을 촉진한다고 분석됩니다.
  • 고용 구조 변화:
    단순 반복 작업은 로봇이 대체하지만, 로봇 유지·관리, 프로그래밍, 시스템 통합 등 고급 기술 분야의 일자리는 증가하는 경향이 있습니다. 따라서 노동시장은 구조적으로 변화를 겪으며, 재교육 및 기술 훈련의 필요성이 커지고 있습니다.
  • 산업 경쟁력 강화:
    로봇 도입으로 인한 원가 절감과 생산성 향상은 국가 및 기업의 글로벌 경쟁력을 높이는 중요한 요소가 되고 있습니다. 특히, 노동 인구 감소와 인건비 상승에 직면한 국가에서는 자동화가 필수적인 경쟁력 강화 수단으로 작용하고 있습니다.

5. 미래 전망

향후 5년(2025~2030년) 동안 글로벌 피지컬 로봇 시장은 다음과 같은 방향으로 전개될 것으로 예상됩니다.

  • 지속적인 시장 확대:
    여러 보고서에서는 산업용 로봇뿐 아니라 서비스 및 의료 로봇 분야도 크게 성장할 것으로 전망하며, 2030년까지 전체 시장 규모가 2000억 달러 이상에 이를 수 있다고 예측합니다.
  • 기술 비용 하락 및 접근성 증대:
    센서, AI 칩, 통신 기술 등이 발전하면서 로봇의 단가가 하락하고, 소규모 기업에서도 로봇 도입이 용이해질 전망입니다.
  • 새로운 산업 분야 진출:
    건설, 농업, 소매, 의료 등 기존 제조업 이외의 분야에서도 로봇 활용이 확대될 것으로 보입니다. 특히, 로봇이 인간과 협력하는 코봇, 자율 이동 로봇, 서비스 로봇 등이 더욱 활성화될 것입니다.
  • 정책 및 규제의 역할:
    미국, 유럽, 일본, 중국 등 주요 국가에서는 로봇 기술 육성을 위한 정부 지원 및 인프라 투자 정책이 계속될 것으로 보입니다. 안전 규제와 윤리 기준 마련도 중요한 과제가 될 것입니다.
  • 경제 및 사회적 파급 효과:
    로봇 도입은 제조업 뿐만 아니라 서비스 분야에도 생산성 향상 효과를 가져오며, 전반적인 경제 성장과 함께 일자리 재편, 기술 교육 강화 등의 사회적 변화도 촉발할 것입니다.

결론

최근 5년간 글로벌 피지컬 로봇 시장은 빠른 성장과 함께 기술 혁신, 투자 확대, 그리고 산업 전반의 자동화 가속화라는 큰 변화를 겪었습니다. 아시아(특히 중국)의 주도적 역할, 미국과 유럽의 기술 선도, 그리고 다양한 분야로의 확산은 앞으로 5년, 10년 후에도 계속될 전망입니다. 이와 같은 변화는 생산성 향상, 새로운 비즈니스 모델 창출, 그리고 경제 구조 재편을 가져올 것으로 기대되며, 관련 정책 및 교육 체계의 개선도 동시에 이루어져야 할 중요한 과제로 남아 있습니다.

이상으로 글로벌 피지컬 로봇 시장의 최근 5년간 동향과 미래 전망에 대한 한글 요약을 마칩니다. 추가로 궁금한 사항이나 세부 분야에 대해 더 알고 싶으시면 말씀해 주세요!

 

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1. 미국 (USA)

  1. Boston Dynamics
    • 주요 사양: 4개의 다리를 가진 로봇으로, 다양한 지형에서 이동 가능.
    • 가격: 약 $75,000 (Spot 모델 기준)
    • 성능: 자율주행, 장애물 회피, 14kg까지 적재 가능.
    • 사용 예시: 산업 현장 점검, 물류 운반, 보안 순찰.
  2. NVIDIA
    • 주요 사양: AI 및 로봇공학을 위한 고성능 GPU 및 Jetson 플랫폼 제공.
    • 가격: 제품에 따라 다름 (Jetson Nano 개발 키트 약 $99)
    • 성능: 실시간 AI 연산, 컴퓨터 비전, 딥러닝 가속화.
    • 사용 예시: 자율주행차, 드론, 산업용 로봇.
  3. iRobot
    • 주요 사양: 가정용 청소 로봇으로, 자율 주행 및 청소 기능.
    • 가격: $200~$1,000 (모델에 따라 다름)
    • 성능: 스마트 맵핑, 자동 충전, 다양한 바닥 유형 청소 가능.
    • 사용 예시: 가정 및 사무실 청소.
  4. Tesla
    • 주요 사양: 자율주행 기능을 갖춘 전기자동차.
    • 가격: $35,000~$120,000 (모델에 따라 다름)
    • 성능: 오토파일럿, FSD(Full Self-Driving) 기능.
    • 사용 예시: 개인 및 상업용 운송.
  5. Waymo
    • 주요 사양: 완전 자율주행 기술을 갖춘 차량 및 서비스.
    • 가격: 서비스 기반으로 가격 책정.
    • 성능: 레벨 4 자율주행, 다양한 도로 환경에서 운행 가능.
    • 사용 예시: 로보택시, 물류 운송.

2. 일본 (Japan)

  1. SoftBank Robotics
    • 주요 사양: 인간형 로봇(페퍼)으로, 감정 인식 및 상호작용 가능.
    • 가격: 약 ¥198,000 (약 $1,800)
    • 성능: 음성 및 얼굴 인식, 대화 가능.
    • 사용 예시: 고객 서비스, 교육.
  2. Fanuc
    • 주요 사양: 산업용 로봇으로, 고속·고정밀 작업 가능.
    • 가격: 모델에 따라 다름.
    • 성능: 용접, 조립, 페인팅 등 다양한 작업 수행.
    • 사용 예시: 자동차 제조, 전자제품 조립.
  3. Toyota
    • 주요 사양: 인간 지원 로봇(HSR)으로, 물건 집기 및 운반 가능.
    • 가격: 프로토타입 단계로 가격 미정.
    • 성능: 자율 이동, 물체 인식 및 조작.
    • 사용 예시: 노인 및 장애인 지원.
  4. Sony
    • 주요 사양: AI 로봇 강아지(Aibo)로, 감정 표현 및 상호작용 가능.
    • 가격: 약 ¥198,000 (약 $1,800)
    • 성능: 얼굴 인식, 학습 능력, 감정 표현.
    • 사용 예시: 반려 로봇, 엔터테인먼트.
  5. Panasonic
    • 주요 사양: 로봇 슈트(Activelink)로, 작업자 힘 보조.
    • 가격: 약 ¥500,000 (약 $4,500)
    • 성능: 무거운 물건 운반 시 힘 보조.
    • 사용 예시: 물류, 건설 현장.

3. 독일 (Germany)

  1. KUKA Robotics
    • 주요 사양: 산업용 로봇으로, 고정밀 작업 가능.
    • 가격: 모델에 따라 다름.
    • 성능: 용접, 조립, 포장 등 다양한 작업 수행.
    • 사용 예시: 자동차 제조, 물류.
  2. Siemens
    • 주요 사양: 산업 자동화 및 AI 솔루션 제공.
    • 가격: 솔루션 및 서비스에 따라 다름.
    • 성능: 스마트 팩토리 구현, 프로세스 최적화.
    • 사용 예시: 제조업, 에너지 관리.
  3. Festo
    • 주요 사양: 자동화 기술 및 로봇 시스템 제공.
    • 가격: 제품 및 솔루션에 따라 다름.
    • 성능: 정밀한 공압 및 전기 구동 시스템.
    • 사용 예시: 산업 자동화, 교육용 로봇.
  4. Bosch
    • 주요 사양: AIoT(인공지능 사물인터넷) 솔루션 및 로봇 기술 제공.
    • 가격: 제품 및 서비스에 따라 다름.
    • 성능: 스마트 홈, 자율주행, 산업 자동화.
    • 사용 예시: 자동차 부품, 가전제품.
  5. ABB
    • 주요 사양: 산업용 로봇 및 자동화 시스템 제공.
    • 가격: 모델 및 솔루션에 따라 다름.
    • 성능: 조립, 용접, 페인팅 등 다양한 작업 수행.
    • 사용 예시: 자동차 제조, 전자제품 생산.

4. 한국 (South Korea)

  1. 현대로보틱스 (Hyundai Robotics)
    • 주요 사양: 산업용 로봇으로, 다양한 작업 가능.
    • 가격: 모델에 따라 다름.
    • 성능: 조립, 용접, 물류 등 다양한 작업 수행.
    • 사용 예시: 자동차 제조, 전자제품 생산.
  2. LG전자 (LG Electronics)
    • 주요 사양: 서비스 로봇 및 AI 솔루션 제공.
    • 가격: 제품에 따라 다름.
    • 성능: 고객 안내, 청소, 배송 등 다양한 기능 수행.
    • 사용 예시: 호텔, 병원, 공항 등에서 서비스 제공.
  3. 삼성전자 (Samsung Electronics)
    • 주요 사양: AI 및 로봇 기술을 적용한 가전제품 및 서비스 제공.
    • 가격: 제품에 따라 다름.
    • 성능: 스마트 홈 구현, 가전제품 자동화.
    • 사용 예시: 가정 내 스마트 가전제품.
  4. 로보티즈 (ROBOTIS)
    • 주요 사양: 교육용 및 연구용 로봇 플랫폼 제공.
    • 가격: 제품에 따라 다름.
    • 성능: 모듈형 로봇, 오픈소스 기반.
    • 사용 예시: 교육, 연구, 개발.
  5. 한화정밀기계 (Hanwha Precision Machinery)
    • 주요 사양: 협동 로봇 및 산업용 로봇 제공.
    • 가격: 모델에 따라 다름.
    • 성능: 조립, 포장, 검사 등 다양한 작업 수행.
    • 사용 예시: 전자제품 제조, 자동차 부품 생산.


4. 중국 (China)

  1. SIASUN Robot & Automation Co., Ltd.
    • 주요 사양: 산업용 로봇 및 자동화 시스템 제공.
    • 가격: 제품 및 솔루션에 따라 다름.
    • 성능: 용접, 조립, 물류 등 다양한 작업 수행.
    • 사용 예시: 자동차 제조, 전자제품 생산.
  2. Dobot (Shenzhen Yuejiang Technology Co., Ltd.)
    • 주요 사양: 데스크톱 로봇 팔 및 협동 로봇 제공.
    • 가격: 모델에 따라 다름 (예: Dobot Magician 약 $1,000)en.wikipedia.org
    • 성능: 3D 프린팅, 레이저 조각, 픽 앤 플레이스 등 다양한 기능 수행.
    • 사용 예시: 교육, 연구, 소규모 제조.
  3. Leju Robot
    • 주요 사양: 휴머노이드 로봇 및 서비스 로봇 개발.kocham.org
    • 가격: 제품에 따라 다름.
    • 성능: 감정 표현, 인간과의 상호작용, 자율 이동.
    • 사용 예시: 교육, 엔터테인먼트, 고객 서비스.
  4. EFORT Intelligent Equipment Co., Ltd.
    • 주요 사양: 산업용 로봇 및 자동화 장비 제조.
    • 가격: 모델에 따라 다름.
    • 성능: 용접, 조립, 페인팅 등 다양한 작업 수행.
    • 사용 예시: 자동차 제조, 가전제품 생산.
  5. QJAR (Zhejiang Qianjiang Robot Co., Ltd.)
    • 주요 사양: 산업용 로봇 및 핵심 부품 제조.
    • 가격: 모델에 따라 다름.
    • 성능: 조립, 용접, 핸들링 등 다양한 작업 수행.
    • 사용 예시: 전자제품 제조, 금속 가공.

5. 인도 (India)

인도의 로봇 제조 시장은 주로 외국 기업이 주도하고 있으며, 현지 기업은 부품을 수입하여 조립하는 경우가 많습니다. 주요 기업으로는 다음과 같습니다:​kiep.go.kr

  1. ABB Robotics
    • 주요 사양: 산업용 로봇 및 자동화 솔루션 제공.
    • 가격: 솔루션 및 서비스에 따라 다름.
    • 성능: 조립, 용접, 페인팅 등 다양한 작업 수행.
    • 사용 예시: 자동차 제조, 전자제품 생산.
  2. Yaskawa-Motoman
    • 주요 사양: 산업용 로봇 및 모션 컨트롤 솔루션 제공.
    • 가격: 제품 및 서비스에 따라 다름.
    • 성능: 용접, 조립, 핸들링 등 다양한 작업 수행.
    • 사용 예시: 자동차 제조, 금속 가공.
  3. FANUC
    • 주요 사양: 산업용 로봇, CNC 시스템 및 로봇 공장 자동화 제공.
    • 가격: 제품 및 솔루션에 따라 다름.
    • 성능: 조립, 용접, 페인팅 등 다양한 작업 수행.
    • 사용 예시: 전자제품 제조, 자동차 부품 생산.
  4. KUKA Robotics
    • 주요 사양: 산업용 로봇 및 자동화 솔루션 제공.
    • 가격: 제품 및 서비스에 따라 다름.
    • 성능: 조립, 용접, 포장 등 다양한 작업 수행.
    • 사용 예시: 자동차 제조, 물류.
  5. TAL Manufacturing Solutions (Tata Group)
    • 주요 사양: 산업용 로봇 및 자동화 시스템 개발.
    • 가격: 제품 및 서비스에 따라 다름.
    • 성능: 조립, 용접, 페인팅 등 다양한 작업 수행.
    • 사용 예시: 자동차 제조, 항공우주 산업.

참고: 인도의 로봇 제조 시장은 외국 기업이 주도하고 있으며, 현지 기업은 부품을 수입하여 조립하는 경우가 많습니다.

 

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Global Physical Robotics Market (2020–2025) Comprehensive Analysis

1. 시장 규모 및 성장률 (Market Size & Growth Rate)

Global demand for physical robots has expanded rapidly over the last five years. In 2020, the worldwide robotics market (including industrial and service robots) was estimated around $55 billion (Industrial robots: worldwide market size | Statista). Despite a brief pandemic slowdown in 2020, the market rebounded strongly – reaching roughly $60 billion in 2022 (Robots Among Us - The Global Robotics Market Growing Rapidly) and about $71 billion in 2023 (Robots Among Us - The Global Robotics Market Growing Rapidly - Statzon Blog). This represents a robust growth trajectory, with one forecast projecting the market to hit $100.6 billion by 2025 and $178.6 billion by 2030, equating to a CAGR of ~12–18% in the coming years (机器人-市场占有率分析、产业趋势/统计、成长预测(2025-2030 ...). The post-COVID surge in automation investments drove double-digit annual growth rates, especially in 2021–2022, as companies sought to boost resilience and efficiency via robotics.

Industrial vs. Service vs. Medical: The industrial robotics segment makes up the largest share of market revenue. In 2021, industrial robot sales reached about $42.3 billion globally (Global Industrial Robotics Market Size to Reach USD 120.31) after a 31% jump in installations from the prior year (World Robotics Report: “All-Time High” with Half a Million Robots Installed in one Year - International Federation of Robotics). Annual installations of industrial robots hit an all-time high of 517,385 units in 2021 (World Robotics Report: “All-Time High” with Half a Million Robots Installed in one Year - International Federation of Robotics), far surpassing the pre-pandemic level (see chart) (World Robotics Report: “All-Time High” with Half a Million Robots Installed in one Year - International Federation of Robotics). Growth slowed slightly in 2022 with ~2.9% unit increase (IFR World Robotics 2023 Key Takeaways), but overall demand remained high. Service robots (which include both commercial/service and personal/domestic robots) have been the fastest-growing segment. In 2020, professional service robots generated $6.7 billion in turnover (up 12%), and consumer service robots (e.g. home robots) $4.4 billion (up 16%) (World Robotics 2021 – Service Robots report released - International Federation of Robotics). By 2021, sales of new professional service robots rose 37% (over 121,000 units sold) (Sales of Robots for the Service Sector Grew by 37% Worldwide - International Federation of Robotics), and consumer service robot sales grew ~9% (Sales of Robots for the Service Sector Grew by 37% Worldwide - International Federation of Robotics). Industry reports valued the service robotics market at ~$36.2 billion in 2021, and project it to exceed $100 billion by 2026 (IFR's Latest World Robotics Report - Skyrocketing Growth - Statzon) – a testament to the rapid adoption of robots in logistics, retail, healthcare, and households. Medical robots (a subset of service robots) have seen steady growth as well: for example, 14,823 medical robots (mostly surgical systems) were sold in 2021, up 23% year-on-year (Sales of Robots for the Service Sector Grew by 37% Worldwide - International Federation of Robotics). Surgical robotics is dominated by high-value systems – the surgical robotics market alone was valued around $11–12 billion in the mid-2020s (Surgical Robot Systems Market and Competition Analysis,).

Regional Market Share: Geographically, Asia has led the robotics boom. Asia accounts for the majority of industrial robot deployments – 73% of new industrial robots in 2022 were installed in Asia (IFR World Robotics 2023 Key Takeaways). China is the single largest national market by far: in 2021 it installed 268,000+ new industrial robots (51% of the world’s total) (World Robotics Report: “All-Time High” with Half a Million Robots Installed in one Year - International Federation of Robotics), and in 2022 China hit a record 290,300 installations – more than the next four countries (Japan, the US, South Korea, and Germany) combined (IFR World Robotics 2023 Key Takeaways) (IFR World Robotics 2023 Key Takeaways). ** (IFR World Robotics 2023 Key Takeaways) (IFR World Robotics 2023 Key Takeaways)** Japan is a distant second with ~50,000 units in 2022 (IFR World Robotics 2023 Key Takeaways), followed by the United States (~39,600 units) and South Korea (~31,700) (IFR World Robotics 2023 Key Takeaways). China’s operational stock of industrial robots surpassed 1.5 million units in 2022 (IFR World Robotics 2023 Key Takeaways), reflecting its aggressive automation drive. Asia’s dominance is fueled by electronics and automotive manufacturing hubs in China, Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan. Europe and North America, while smaller in unit share, remain significant markets especially for service robots. In service robotics, Europe actually led in 2021 – European firms accounted for ~38% of global professional service robot revenue, North America 32%, and Asia ~30% (Sales of Robots for the Service Sector Grew by 37% Worldwide - International Federation of Robotics). By 2023, European companies held $6.8B in service robot revenues, ahead of North America ($5.7B) and Asia ($3.6B) (39+ Robotics Industry Stats & Trends (2024)) (39+ Robotics Industry Stats & Trends (2024)). This underscores Europe’s strength in areas like warehouse automation, medical and hospitality robots. Overall, North America and Europe each represent roughly 15–20% of new industrial robot installations (IFR World Robotics 2023 Key Takeaways), and about one-third of global robotics revenue combined (39+ Robotics Industry Stats & Trends (2024)) (39+ Robotics Industry Stats & Trends (2024)). Key markets by country include China (now >50% of industrial units), Japan, the US, South Korea, and Germany – these five countries consistently account for the bulk of robot deployments worldwide (IFR presents World Robotics 2021 reports).

2. 주요 기업 (Key Companies in Robotics)

The global physical robotics industry is led by a mix of long-established industrial automation firms and innovative newer entrants. Below is a list of influential robotics companies (across industrial, service, and medical segments) along with their market roles, product focus, and recent investment/M&A moves:

  • ABB Ltd. (Switzerland) – A pioneer in industrial robotics, ABB is often cited as the market leader in industrial robot sales by value (Chart: The Giants of Industrial Robotics | Statista). It offers a wide range of robots (IRB series) for manufacturing, electronics, and automotive applications. ABB has ~400,000+ robots installed worldwide. Its robotics division (part of ABB’s Robotics & Discrete Automation) saw strong growth post-2020; e.g. ABB’s new large robot models in 2024 expanded its lineup to 46 variants (up to 620 kg payload) (Robotics Industry - Market Size & Growth). ABB has also grown via acquisitions – in 2021 it acquired ASTI Mobile Robotics to add autonomous mobile robots to its portfolio (for warehouse and logistics automation). ABB’s aggressive R&D and global support network help maintain its ~13–14% share of the industrial robot market (estimated).
  • Fanuc Corp. (Japan) – One of the world’s largest industrial robot manufacturers, Fanuc is known for its iconic yellow robot arms and CNC controls. Fanuc’s revenue from robotics was about $6.5 billion in 2022 (The Top Revenue Generating Industrial Robot Companies). It offers 100+ models (from SCARA and delta robots to heavy-payload articulated arms) and is especially prominent in the automotive and electronics industries. Fanuc held a high-teens global market share (comparable to ABB) in industrial robotics. The company has been expanding capacity – e.g. in 2024 Fanuc opened a new 650,000 sq. ft West Campus in Michigan to ramp up robot production in North America (Robotics Industry - Market Size & Growth). Fanuc has a strong presence in Asia and is known for highly reliable, high-volume manufacturing robots.
  • Yaskawa Electric (Japan) – A major industrial robotics provider (branding under Motoman), with $3.7 billion in robot-related revenue (The Top Revenue Generating Industrial Robot Companies). Yaskawa offers 25+ types of robots, known for welding, assembly, painting and material handling (widely used in automotive and general industry). It has a global installed base over 500,000 units. Yaskawa is also a leader in motion control systems and drives, often integrating robotics with automation solutions. The company has invested in expanding overseas: e.g. building a new robotics assembly and distribution center in Europe (Slovenia) in 2024 (Robotics Industry - Market Size & Growth). Yaskawa’s market share in industrial robots is significant (on par with KUKA’s, each roughly ~8–10% of the market).
  • KUKA AG (Germany) – A European leader in industrial robots, offering a broad portfolio (24+ robot models from small SCARAs to large palletizers) (The Top Revenue Generating Industrial Robot Companies). KUKA had about $3.9 billion in revenue in 2022 (The Top Revenue Generating Industrial Robot Companies). It is known for robots in automotive assembly lines (signature orange arms) and has been expanding into logistics and healthcare (via its LBR iiwa collaborative robots). KUKA was acquired by China’s Midea Group in 2016, and since then it has increased focus on the Chinese market. It retains a strong presence in Europe and North America via its robotic automation solutions. KUKA’s U.S. headquarters are in Michigan, reflecting its deep ties to the auto industry. Recent strategy includes partnering on smart factory and mobile robotics solutions; it has also invested in education/training (e.g. KUKA opened a robotics education center, as noted in IFR reports (Robotics Research: How Asia, Europe and America Invest - International Federation of Robotics)).
  • Mitsubishi Electric (Japan) – A conglomerate whose factory automation division makes industrial robots. Mitsubishi’s total revenue (~$36 billion) is far above pure-play robot firms (The Top Revenue Generating Industrial Robot Companies), but only a portion is robotics (focused on smaller assembly robots and CNC automation cells). Mitsubishi is especially strong in electronics manufacturing automation in Asia. By revenue, it was ranked the largest due to its broad automation business (The Top Revenue Generating Industrial Robot Companies), though its share of standalone robot units is smaller relative to ABB/Fanuc. Mitsubishi continues to innovate in high-speed, precision robots for assembly and semiconductor sectors.
  • Denso Corp. (Japan) – An automotive technology supplier that is also a top producer of industrial robots (often used in its own factories and sold to others). Denso specializes in small assembly and SCARA robots for electronics and automotive component production. It was highlighted among major players (Robotics Industry - Market Size & Growth) (Robotics Industry - Market Size & Growth). Denso’s dual role as a user and vendor of robots underscores how end-user manufacturers (like automakers) are entering the robotics market to secure supply and expertise.
  • Universal Robots (Denmark) – The leading manufacturer of collaborative robots (cobots), which are smaller robots designed to work safely alongside humans. UR (owned by Teradyne) holds about 47% of the global cobot market (2021) (Robots Among Us - The Global Robotics Market Growing Rapidly). Its lightweight robotic arms (UR3, UR5, UR10, etc.) are popular with small and mid-sized enterprises for tasks like machine tending, assembly, and packaging. Collaborative robots have been a high-growth niche (~30–40% CAGR (Collaborative Robots Market Size, Share, Growth Report, 2028)), as they open robotics to new users. UR’s success has prompted major firms (Fanuc, ABB, Yasakwa, etc.) to launch their own cobot models, but UR remains the clear market leader in this segment (Robots Among Us - The Global Robotics Market Growing Rapidly).
  • Intuitive Surgical (USA) – The dominant player in medical robotics, controlling roughly two-thirds to 70% of the surgical robotics market (Positioning The Industry For Growth In Robotic Surgery) (Global Surgical Robotics and Navigation Market | 2025-2031). Intuitive’s da Vinci Surgical System (a four-arm robot for minimally invasive surgery) has over 7,500 units installed globally and has been used in >12 million procedures. In 2021, Intuitive’s revenues reached $5.71B (with $1.68B from new robot sales, and $4B+ from instruments and services) (Intuitive Surgical Stock Builds On Its Robotic Surgery Prowess, But ...). The company’s near-monopoly is now seeing competition – e.g. Medtronic and Johnson & Johnson are investing in surgical robot platforms – but Intuitive still holds an enormous lead in technology, FDA clearances, and installed base. The U.S. leads the world in deploying surgical robots (90% of the global market’s value is in the U.S. for surgical/nav systems) (U.S. Surgical Robotics and Navigation Market | 2024-2030). Intuitive’s success and patent portfolio (over 3,500 patents) also highlight the US edge in medical and AI-integrated robotics (Study: China Far Outpacing U.S. in Worldwide Robotics Patents - Nextgov/FCW).
  • DJI (China) – The undisputed leader in commercial and consumer drones, which are a form of aerial robotics. DJI controls an estimated 70%+ of the global drone market, manufacturing advanced quadcopters used in filmmaking, agriculture, surveying, and industrial inspections. Its prominence is a reminder that “physical robotics” includes not just ground robots but airborne ones as well. DJI’s annual revenue (estimated ~$2.9B in 2020) and aggressive R&D (in AI vision, stabilization, etc.) have kept it far ahead of competitors. Drones are increasingly used for automated tasks like warehouse inventory scanning and delivery trials, extending the reach of robotics beyond factory floors.
  • iRobot Corp. (USA) – The leading maker of consumer robots, best known for the Roomba robotic vacuum. In 2020 iRobot held 46% of the global robot vacuum cleaner market (Robotic vacuum cleaner market share 2020 | Statista), outselling a host of newer Chinese competitors. The company’s home robots (vacuuming, mopping devices) have brought robotics into millions of households. Annual revenue was $1.56B in 2021, reflecting strong pandemic-era demand for home automation. In 2022, Amazon announced a deal to acquire iRobot for $1.7 billion (Amazon and iRobot sign an agreement for Amazon to acquire iRobot), aiming to integrate home robots with its smart home ecosystem. This pending acquisition (currently under regulatory review) underscores Big Tech’s interest in robotics. Amazon itself operates an enormous robotic fleet in logistics – with over 500,000 autonomous mobile robots in its fulfillment centers as of 2022 (Cathie Wood says that robots could outnumber humans as Amazon ...) – and the iRobot deal would give Amazon a major foothold in consumer robotics hardware.
  • Boston Dynamics (USA) – An iconic robotics R&D company famed for cutting-edge legged robots (like the Spot quadruped and Atlas humanoid). While not yet a high-volume commercial seller, Boston Dynamics has had outsized influence on robotics innovation and public imagination. In June 2021, Hyundai Motor Group acquired an 80% stake in Boston Dynamics (from SoftBank) in a deal valuing it at $1.1 billion (Hyundai Buys Robot Maker Boston Dynamics, Valuing Company at ...). Hyundai’s investment aims to eventually commercialize robots for logistics, security, and even mobility assistance, leveraging Boston Dynamics’ advanced technology. The company recently began selling Stretch (a mobile robot for warehouse palletizing) and Spot for industrial inspection tasks. Boston Dynamics exemplifies how traditional manufacturing firms (like Hyundai) are entering the robotics space via acquisitions to accelerate development of next-generation robots.
  • Emerging Players & Others: The robotics field is increasingly crowded. Chinese companies are on the rise – e.g. Siasun, Estun, and Efort are notable domestic robot manufacturers in China, collectively increasing their share (China’s robot industry has grown under government support, with Chinese vendors now supplying ~30% of robots sold in China). In warehouses and logistics, startups like Geek+ (China) and Locus Robotics (USA) have deployed tens of thousands of AMRs (autonomous mobile robots) for order fulfillment. Teradyne (USA), beyond owning Universal Robots, also acquired Mobile Industrial Robots (MiR) in 2018 and AutoGuide in 2019, positioning itself as a leader in collaborative and mobile robots. In healthcare, companies like Stryker (USA) have acquired surgical robot makers (e.g. Mako Surgical for orthopedic robots) and Medtronic (Ireland/USA) acquired Mazor Robotics (spinal surgery robots) – part of a wave of consolidation as large med-tech firms invest in robotic surgery. SoftBank Robotics (owned by SoftBank of Japan) introduced the humanoid Pepper and vacuuming Whiz robots; while Pepper’s sales were modest, SoftBank remains a major investor in the sector through its Vision Fund (e.g. funding warehouse robotics and AI startups). Automakers like Tesla and Toyota have announced ambitious robotics projects too – Tesla unveiled a prototype humanoid robot (Optimus) in 2022 as a future vision for general-purpose robots, and Toyota continues to develop assistive robots for elderly care and manufacturing support. In summary, the competitive landscape spans industrial automation giants (ABB, Fanuc, etc.), specialized firms dominating niches (Intuitive in surgery, iRobot in home robots, DJI in drones, UR in cobots), and a host of startups and conglomerates jostling in emerging areas. Established leaders are leveraging R&D and acquisitions to maintain their edge (Robotics Industry - Market Size & Growth) (Robotics Industry - Market Size & Growth), while new entrants bring innovative technologies (AI, vision, mobility) into the market.

Recent Investment & M&A Trends (2018–2024): The past five years saw significant investment and consolidation in robotics. Major acquisitions include the ones noted above (Amazon-iRobot, Hyundai-Boston Dynamics, etc.), as well as Zebra Technologies acquiring Fetch Robotics for $290 million (2021) to add warehouse robots to its product mix (Fetch Robotics acquired by Zebra Technologies for $290M), Shopify buying 6 River Systems (2019) for $450 million to automate fulfillment (though later selling it to Ocado in 2023), and Abbott Laboratories acquiring Walk Vascular (2022) to expand into vascular robotic systems in medicine. Numerous big tech companies made strategic buys: e.g. Google’s parent Alphabet quietly acquired Intrinsic (2021) to focus on industrial robot software and Vicarious (2022), a robotics AI firm; Amazon picked up Canvas Technology (2019) for self-driving warehouse carts and invested in agility robot maker Agility Robotics (Digit) in 2023. Traditional industrial firms also invested heavily – John Deere purchased Bear Flag Robotics (2021) for $250 M to automate tractors, and Rockwell Automation acquired Clearpath’s OTTO Motors (2023) stake for mobile robots. Venture capital investment hit record highs: over $90 billion was invested into robotics startups globally from 2016–2021, roughly 10% of all tech VC funding (Robotics – Has the Time Finally Arrived for Venture Capital? • F-Prime Capital). Funding peaked in 2021–2022, when investor enthusiasm for automation and autonomous vehicles was at its zenith. For example, in 2021 SoftBank’s Vision Fund invested $2.8 billion for a 40% stake in AutoStore (a Norwegian robotic storage systems firm) (SoftBank invests $2.8 billion in Norwegian robotics firm AutoStore), one of the largest robotics deals on record. Robotics companies also reached public markets via IPOs/SPACs – AutoStore, Vicarious Surgical, Symbotic, and Sarcos all went public in 2021–2022, raising capital for expansion. Since late 2022, there has been some cooling: VC funding for robotics fell to $10.6 billion in 2023, from $18.5 billion in 2022 amid broader tech investment declines (State of Robotics in 2024: The Rise of Vertical Robotics). Nonetheless, corporate investments remain strong as end-user demand rises. Government-related funds have also joined in – e.g. Saudi Arabia’s PIF invested in robotic carwash startup, and China’s state-backed funds heavily support domestic robot firms. Overall, the industry has seen consolidation as larger players acquire niche tech to offer full-stack solutions (Robotics Industry - Market Size & Growth), and an inflow of capital fueling innovation (with the understanding that scale and integration are key to profitability in robotics).

3. 기술 트렌드 (Technology Trends in Physical Robotics)

The robotics field has advanced markedly from 2020 to 2025, driven by breakthroughs in artificial intelligence, sensor technology, and new design paradigms. Several key technology trends have defined this period:

  • Artificial Intelligence & Machine Learning: The infusion of AI has made robots smarter and more autonomous than ever. Modern robots increasingly use machine learning for vision and decision-making – for instance, AI-driven vision systems enable “vision-guided robotics”, a market valued at $6.1B in 2021 and projected to $20B by 2030 (39+ Robotics Industry Stats & Trends (2024)) (39+ Robotics Industry Stats & Trends (2024)). Robots now routinely employ 2D/3D cameras and AI algorithms to recognize objects, adapt to variability, and even perform quality inspection tasks that used to stump traditional automation (Top 5 Robot Trends 2023 - International Federation of Robotics) (Top 5 Robot Trends 2023 - International Federation of Robotics). AI-powered robots can sort mixed items, navigate dynamic environments, and optimize their own paths. A prime example is AI in warehouse robots – Amazon’s recently unveiled Sparrow robot arm uses machine vision and deep learning to grasp diverse products for order fulfillment (something infeasible just a few years ago). Edge AI and faster processors mean robots can process sensor data in real-time (for safety reflexes, defect detection, etc.), while cloud computing allows robots to offload heavy computations and learn from fleet data. Overall, AI is helping robots handle unstructured environments – “the greater the variability and unpredictability of the environment, the more likely it is that AI algorithms will provide a cost-effective solution” to enable robotic automation (Top 5 Robot Trends 2023 - International Federation of Robotics). We also see early examples of robots learning by demonstration (programming by showing examples) and reinforcement learning for complex motion planning, which hint at more adaptive robots in the near future.
  • Connectivity (IoT, 5G, Cloud Robotics): Robots are no longer isolated workcells; they are becoming nodes in a larger digital ecosystem. The rise of Industrial IoT means robots are connected to factory networks, feeding data to cloud analytics. 5G networks began rolling out in factories in the early 2020s, promising high-bandwidth, low-latency links that enable wireless robot control and coordination (Top 5 Robot Trends 2023 - International Federation of Robotics) (Top 5 Robot Trends 2023 - International Federation of Robotics). This is making it feasible to deploy cable-free production lines with mobile robots and to remotely monitor and update robots. For example, cloud platforms now allow centralized oversight of robot fleets across multiple sites, and even “robot app stores” are emerging to download skills or AI models to robots on demand (Top 5 Robot Trends 2023 - International Federation of Robotics). Digital twin technology is another growing trend – creating virtual simulations of robots and their work environment to optimize tasks and train AI in parallel to real operations. Companies increasingly use digital twins to program robots offline and to predict maintenance needs. Predictive maintenance itself is enhanced by connectivity: robots self-report their component health, and AI models predict failures, minimizing downtime (Top 5 Robot Trends 2023 - International Federation of Robotics). In summary, better connectivity and data integration are boosting robot performance and ease of use, enabling what some call “Industry 4.0” in manufacturing.
  • Collaborative Robots (Cobots) & Human-Robot Collaboration: Robots are moving out of cages and onto the factory floor next to human workers. The past five years have seen explosive growth in collaborative robots, which are designed with force-limited joints, vision systems, and safety sensors to work safely alongside people. Cobots are typically smaller and easier to program (often via intuitive interfaces or hand-guiding). This has opened up robotics to small and medium-sized enterprises and new applications (like assisting workers in assembly tasks or tending machines in small batches). The cobot segment grew at ~>30% CAGR through the early 2020s (IFR World Robotics 2023 Key Takeaways) (IFR World Robotics 2023 Key Takeaways). In 2022, collaborative robots accounted for 10% of all industrial robot installations – about 55,000 cobots deployed, up 31% from the prior year (IFR World Robotics 2023 Key Takeaways). This share has steadily risen from virtually zero a decade ago. Major manufacturers now have cobot lines, and there is a proliferation of specialized cobot models (for welding, painting, medical rehab, etc.). Beyond factory settings, mobile “collaborative” robots (such as robot assistants that follow workers or autonomous carts in hospitals) are emerging. Importantly, user-friendly programming is a focus: many cobots can be taught tasks by demonstration and come with app ecosystems to simplify integration. This trend lowers the barrier to automation – even companies without robotics experts on staff can deploy a cobot for handling or assembly. The safety and ergonomics improvements cannot be overstated: collaborative robots take over repetitive or ergonomically strenuous tasks while humans do higher-level work, creating a more productive human-robot team. We expect cobots to continue expanding into new industries (electronics, food processing, pharma labs, etc.), as indicated by their growing share of the overall robot market each year (IFR World Robotics 2023 Key Takeaways).
  • Autonomous Mobile Robots (AMRs) and Logistics Automation: Warehouses, hospitals, and factories have seen a surge of mobile robotics. These free-roaming robots use sensors (LiDAR, cameras, GPS) and AI navigation algorithms to move through facilities carrying goods or performing tasks – without needing fixed infrastructure like tracks or magnetic strips (unlike older AGVs). The pandemic and e-commerce boom created huge demand for automated material handling. By 2021, one out of every three professional service robots sold was for the transportation of goods (over 40,000 transport AMRs sold) (Sales of Robots for the Service Sector Grew by 37% Worldwide - International Federation of Robotics) (Sales of Robots for the Service Sector Grew by 37% Worldwide - International Federation of Robotics). Turnover for autonomous guided vehicles and delivery robots exceeded $1 billion in 2020, growing 11% even amid COVID disruptions (World Robotics 2021 – Service Robots report released - International Federation of Robotics). Modern AMRs employ advanced sensor fusion to navigate dynamic environments: they can safely avoid people and obstacles in a warehouse or hospital hallway. For example, robots like Locus or Fetch can follow optimal routes to pick items for orders, and hospital delivery robots ferry medications between floors via elevators. Swarm coordination is also a trend – fleets of AMRs communicate to distribute tasks and optimize traffic flow. A related development is drones for delivery and inventory (some warehouses use drones to scan inventory on high shelves, and pilot programs use robots or drones for last-mile delivery on sidewalks or from the air). Another cutting-edge area is mobile manipulation, combining mobility with robotic arms (e.g., robots that can move to a location and then manipulate objects there). Early products like Boston Dynamics’ Stretch (a mobile box-loading robot) and warehouse robots with onboard picking arms are now being tested, foreshadowing versatile robots that can both navigate and physically interact with objects. These technologies are propelled by better batteries (lithium-ion improvements give longer runtimes), cheaper LiDAR, and more powerful onboard computing to handle SLAM (simultaneous localization and mapping) in real-time.
  • Advanced Sensors and Perception: Across all robot types, sensor technology has leapt forward, greatly improving robots’ awareness and dexterity. High-resolution 3D cameras and depth sensors give robots a detailed view of their environment, enabling vision-based gripping and inspection capabilities that were impractical before (Top 5 Robot Trends 2023 - International Federation of Robotics) (Top 5 Robot Trends 2023 - International Federation of Robotics). Force-torque sensors in robot wrists allow delicate assembly and force-controlled tasks – robots can now insert a fragile component or polish a surface with a controlled touch. Tactile sensors (artificial “skins” or fingertip sensors) are beginning to give robots a sense of touch for better gripping of irregular objects. Sensor fusion (combining data from cameras, force sensors, encoders, ultrasonic sensors, etc.) underpins safer human-robot interaction – for example, cobots use depth cameras to slow or stop if a person comes too close. The period also saw initial adoption of LIDAR in robotics beyond vehicles (some large cleaning robots and outdoor delivery robots use laser scanners for navigation). All these sensors produce massive data; improvements in on-board processing (GPUs, FPGAs) and efficient algorithms (like visual SLAM) make real-time perception feasible. One notable application of advanced perception is in agriculture: robots equipped with machine vision can identify and pick ripe fruit or detect weeds for precision spraying, tasks requiring fine visual discrimination. Another is safety scanners in industrial robots – intelligent light curtains and 3D safety sensors that create dynamic safe zones, allowing robots and humans to share workspaces more fluidly. In summary, richer sensing and perception have greatly expanded what robots can do – from autonomous navigation to gentle object handling – bringing us closer to robots that can operate in human-centric environments.
  • Rise of Specialized Robotics & New Form Factors: The 2020s have also seen robots diversify in shape and application. Humanoid and bipedal robots garnered attention – startups and large companies alike have been developing human-like robots to leverage environments designed for people. While still largely R&D, humanoids (e.g., Tesla’s Optimus prototype, Xiaomi’s CyberOne, Agility Robotics’ Digit) aim to one day perform general tasks in factories or even homes. The IFR identified humanoid robots as an emerging trend on the horizon (for beyond 2025) (International Federation of Robotics report highlights top 5 global ...). Exoskeletons and wearable robots have progressed too – these devices assist human movement (for rehab or worker augmentation) and are increasingly used in medical rehabilitation centers and some factories (to reduce back strain for workers lifting objects). In the service sector, we saw new robot types like hospitality robots (for example, robot “butlers” in hotels and restaurants that deliver items – over 20,000 such robots were deployed in 2021, up 85% (Sales of Robots for the Service Sector Grew by 37% Worldwide - International Federation of Robotics)) and disinfection robots that autonomously UV-sterilize rooms (demand spiked with COVID-19) (Sales of Robots for the Service Sector Grew by 37% Worldwide - International Federation of Robotics). Another niche is education and companion robots – small humanoid or toy-like robots that teach coding or keep children and the elderly engaged (this market grew during lockdowns). Drones evolved with better autonomy – beyond aerial drones, there are now underwater robots for ocean inspection and rolling robots for surveillance. Agricultural robots emerged as well, from robotic milking systems on farms to autonomous harvesters and weed-killing bots. In each case, the pattern is specialization: robots tailored to specific tasks, often combining mobility, manipulation, and AI for domain-specific challenges. For instance, agricultural robotics use AI vision to identify crops, and hospitality robots focus on user interface (speech, touchscreens) to interact with customers. These innovations have been backed by a steady rise in robotics patents globally – a sign of intense R&D. Notably, China has become the world leader in robotics patenting, accounting for 43% of global robotics patents in 2019 (5,400 patents that year) versus 17% for the US (Study: China Far Outpacing U.S. in Worldwide Robotics Patents - Nextgov/FCW) (Study: China Far Outpacing U.S. in Worldwide Robotics Patents - Nextgov/FCW). China leads patent activity in industrial, humanoid, and agricultural robotics, while the U.S. still leads in areas like medical and defense robotics (Study: China Far Outpacing U.S. in Worldwide Robotics Patents - Nextgov/FCW). This surge in patents reflects the race to develop new robot capabilities and form factors. Overall, the 2020–2025 period has been one of remarkable technological maturation: robots are smarter, safer, more mobile, and more integrated than ever before, setting the stage for broader adoption.

Examples of Innovation: To illustrate these trends, consider a case in manufacturing: BMW’s automotive factories now use AI-guided robots that can flexibly switch tasks and collaborate with workers on assembly lines – something made possible by better vision and cobot safety features. In e-commerce, logistics firms like DHL and Amazon deploy swarms of AMRs that autonomously fetch and sort packages, coordinated by cloud software. In healthcare, AI-powered surgical robots are integrating imaging (MRI/CT scans) to guide surgeons with sub-millimeter precision, and rehabilitation exoskeletons use adaptive algorithms to personalize therapy. Even in construction, robots are appearing – for example, a startup’s bricklaying robot uses AI vision to lay bricks accurately and continuously, augmenting human crews. Many of these innovations were in pilot phases in the early 2020s and are scaling up as the technology proves reliable and cost-effective.

4. 투자 및 경제적 영향 (Investment and Economic Impact)

Global Investment Trends: Investment in the robotics sector accelerated markedly over the past five years. Venture capital and private equity flows into robotics startups have been substantial – about $90 billion was invested globally in robotics startups from 2016 through 2021, representing roughly 10% of all VC investment in tech during that period (Robotics – Has the Time Finally Arrived for Venture Capital? • F-Prime Capital). Funding peaked around 2021, amid excitement for automation solutions in a pandemic-disrupted world. In 2021 and 2022, annual VC funding for robotics companies reached record levels (e.g. an estimated $18.5 billion in 2022 alone) (State of Robotics in 2024: The Rise of Vertical Robotics). This timeframe saw numerous mega-rounds: autonomous vehicle companies (considered part of robotics by many investors) raised billions – for example, Waymo, Cruise, and others – and vertical-specific robotics startups (in logistics, healthcare, agriculture) also closed large deals. However, by 2023 the broader VC market had cooled, and robotics funding dipped to $10.6 billion in 2023 (State of Robotics in 2024: The Rise of Vertical Robotics) (though still well above mid-2010s levels). Investors have become a bit more cautious, focusing on startups with clear paths to revenue. The mix of investment has also shifted: earlier, over 50% of robotics VC dollars went into autonomous vehicles (AV) projects (Robotics – Has the Time Finally Arrived for Venture Capital? • F-Prime Capital), but as AV timelines proved longer than expected, 2022 saw pullback in that area and more emphasis on “vertical” robotics – startups solving specific industry problems (like warehouse picking, surgical robots, cleaning robots) gained favor (Robotics – Has the Time Finally Arrived for Venture Capital? • F-Prime Capital). Western markets (US, Europe, Israel) accounted for ~70% of robotics VC investment through these years, though China’s share has been growing (Robotics – Has the Time Finally Arrived for Venture Capital? • F-Prime Capital). China’s government and tech giants funneled massive support into robotics as part of national strategy – dozens of Chinese robotics startups (e.g. in service robots and manufacturing robots) have raised significant funding, often backed by state-guided funds aiming to localize robot production.

Major venture capital firms and corporate investors have actively shaped the industry. SoftBank’s Vision Fund stands out – it poured billions into robotics and AI: beyond the $2.8B AutoStore deal (SoftBank invests $2.8 billion in Norwegian robotics firm AutoStore), Vision Fund also invested in Brain Corp (autonomous floor cleaning machines), Uber’s robotics (self-driving) efforts, Nuro (delivery robots), AMP Robotics (AI recycling robots), and others. Similarly, Tiger Global and Sequoia Capital led multiple large rounds for warehouse automation and drone companies, seeing robotics as the next frontier of tech. Big industrial players launched or expanded corporate venture arms to invest in startups: e.g., Bosch Ventures, ABB Technology Ventures, Siemens Next47, Toyota AI Ventures – all have funded emerging robotics companies to stay on top of new tech. Amazon not only acquired robotics firms (as noted) but also invested in early-stage developers of sorting robots and manipulators (through the Amazon Industrial Innovation Fund). Honda, Samsung, Intel, Google, and NVIDIA likewise made strategic investments or acquisitions in robotics or enabling technologies (such as AI chips for robots, vision software companies, etc.).

Economic Impact – Productivity and Efficiency: Robotics adoption has been a significant driver of productivity gains in various industries. Automated systems can operate 24/7 at high speed and precision, which improves output and lowers costs in the long run. For instance, a UK study projected that accelerating robot uptake could raise manufacturing GVA (gross value added) in the UK by 21% over a decade (Microsoft Word - IFR The Impact of Robots on Employment _7 April 2017 (FB Word 97-2003).doc). In South Korea – the country with the world’s highest robot density – high automation is expected to improve manufacturing cost-competitiveness by 6 percentage points by 2025 versus less-automated countries (Microsoft Word - IFR The Impact of Robots on Employment _7 April 2017 (FB Word 97-2003).doc). These gains come from higher throughput, improved quality (fewer errors/defects), and energy efficiency. Robots can also help localize production: by lowering labor cost dependence, companies can afford to “reshore” factories closer to consumer markets. This resilience-driven reshoring trend is evident in industries like electronics and EV batteries, where firms are investing in robotics to enable domestic manufacturing (a trend highlighted as a top driver in 2023 (Top 5 Robot Trends 2023 - International Federation of Robotics) (Top 5 Robot Trends 2023 - International Federation of Robotics)).

One clear economic effect is in throughput and capacity. For example, during the pandemic e-commerce spike, warehouses that deployed robots were able to handle surging order volumes with fewer delays. In automotive, highly automated plants (like those in Japan and Germany) can produce cars with shorter cycle times per vehicle. There’s also a quality benefit – robots perform tasks with high repeatability, reducing scrap and rework costs. In the electronics industry, tiny components are placed with micron accuracy by robots, enabling the production of modern high-density PCBs and semiconductor packaging that would be impossible by hand.

Robotics has also started contributing to services sector productivity – autonomous cleaning robots in airports, delivery robots on campuses, and service kiosks in restaurants all automate tasks in non-manufacturing settings that historically saw little productivity growth. One study found that robotics and automation in service sectors (like retail, logistics) can lead to a three-fold increase in labor productivity in those sectors over time (Robotics Research: How Asia, Europe and America Invest - International Federation of Robotics) (Robotics Research: How Asia, Europe and America Invest - International Federation of Robotics), albeit from a low baseline.

Impact on Employment: The relationship between robots and jobs is complex and often debated. In the short term, increased automation can displace certain jobs, particularly repetitive, low-skill roles in manufacturing and warehouses. Academic studies in the U.S. found that for each additional robot per 1,000 workers, there was an associated decline in employment and wages – one noted an average loss of 3 to 5.6 jobs per new industrial robot installed in a local labor market (Robots and Jobs in the US Labor Market | NBER) (A new study measures the actual impact of robots on jobs. It's ...). For instance, automotive factories that added many robots saw reductions in assembly-line headcount. However, many economists argue these effects, while real at the local level, are offset by broader job creation and economic growth in the longer term. History shows automation often creates as many jobs as it destroys over time (Understanding the impact of automation on workers, jobs, and wages). Robots can lower production costs which can lead to lower prices and higher demand, spurring companies to expand and hire in other areas (engineering, sales, maintenance, etc.). As one Brookings review put it, “Automation often creates as many jobs as it destroys… Workers who can work with machines are more productive.” (Understanding the impact of automation on workers, jobs, and wages).

Indeed, the robotics boom has created new categories of jobs: demand for robot technicians, integrators, and programmers has grown. Every large deployment of robots usually comes with hiring for engineers to install and maintain them. For example, Amazon’s addition of hundreds of thousands of warehouse robots led to net hiring of human workers as well, because its overall warehouse throughput grew – the robots took over fetching and carrying tasks, while humans moved into roles managing inventory, handling exceptions, and servicing robots. Many companies report that robots augment their workforce rather than replace it entirely, by doing the “dirty, dull, dangerous” tasks. The IFR notes that countries with high robot adoption (like Germany, South Korea) often have low unemployment rates – suggesting that competitiveness gained from automation can protect and even create jobs (though often higher skilled jobs) (Study: China Far Outpacing U.S. in Worldwide Robotics Patents - Nextgov/FCW).

That said, there are legitimate concerns about worker displacement and the need for retraining. Lower-skilled manufacturing roles are most vulnerable – e.g. a welding robot might replace two welding operators. Policy responses in the last five years have included increased focus on workforce development: governments and companies are investing in retraining programs to upskill workers from routine tasks to more technical roles (programming, equipment maintenance). Collaborative robots also offer a more incremental approach, allowing humans and robots to work together rather than an “either-or” replacement. In countries like Japan, robots are seen as essential to fill labor gaps due to an aging workforce – a rising number of robots per worker (robot density) is actually helping sustain production as human workforce numbers decline. In summary, the economic impact on employment is a double-edged sword: robotics boosts productivity and can drive economic growth (which historically leads to new job creation), but it also demands a shift in the labor force, reducing demand for some manual skills while increasing demand for tech skills. The net effect depends on the pace of adoption and the ability of economies to adapt; thus far, global manufacturing employment hasn’t collapsed – in some advanced countries manufacturing output is up while employment has gradually declined or stabilized at a lower level, partly attributable to automation. Moving forward, addressing the skills gap – training workers to work alongside robots or in robot-supported processes – is seen as crucial to ensure that the productivity gains translate into broad economic benefits.

Wider Economic Effects: On a macro level, the growing robotics industry itself has become an important economic contributor. It has spawned new businesses and startups, creating an ecosystem of component suppliers (for sensors, AI chips, grippers, etc.), software providers (robot operating systems, simulation tools), and integrators. Regions known for robotics (like Nagoya in Japan, Bavaria in Germany, Boston/Pittsburgh/Silicon Valley in the US, and Shenzhen in China) have seen job growth and investment influx due to clustering of robotics companies. Robotics is also a strategic area for governments – many countries view it as critical to future competitiveness, leading to national programs (discussed in the next section). Another positive economic effect is in workplace safety and health – by taking on dangerous tasks, robots can reduce workplace injuries, which has economic benefits (lower healthcare costs, less lost labor time). For example, mining and oil companies deploying robotic inspectors or autonomous haulage trucks have seen fewer accidents. Even in manufacturing, heavy lifting robots or painting robots mean fewer workers exposed to injury or toxic fumes. This contributes indirectly to productivity and reduces societal costs.

On the consumer side, as service robots proliferate, we may eventually see cost benefits (e.g. robots reducing the cost of services – like automated floor cleaning in supermarkets could marginally reduce store operation costs). Already, robotic vacuums have given time back to households and created a ~$10B consumer market by 2021 (Robotic Vacuum Cleaner Market Size, Share | Global Report, 2028). As robots take on more household chores (mowing, pool cleaning, window cleaning – all areas where products exist), there’s an economic value to the time saved by consumers.

In summary, the past five years have solidified robotics as a key driver of industrial productivity and a growing contributor to economic activity. Investments have poured in, and while there are short-term adjustments in labor, the long-term view – supported by many studies – is that robotics will raise global GDP by enabling higher output and possibly create new jobs in maintaining the larger, more automated economy ([PDF] The Impact of Robots on Productivity, Employment and Jobs) (Understanding the impact of automation on workers, jobs, and wages). The challenge is ensuring the workforce transitions smoothly to this more automated future.

5. 미래 전망 (2025–2030 Outlook and Future Prospects)

Looking ahead to the next five years and beyond, the global physical robotics market is poised to continue its robust expansion. Analysts forecast sustained growth through 2025–2030, with the market expected to surpass $200 billion by 2030 (Robots Among Us - The Global Robotics Market Growing Rapidly - Statzon Blog). Various projections put the CAGR in the range of 12% to 25% annually, depending on the scope considered. For example, one industry report estimates the robotics market will grow from about $74B in 2024 to over $178B in 2030 (around 12.17% CAGR) (机器人-市场占有率分析、产业趋势/统计、成长预测(2025-2030 ...), while others, factoring in new consumer applications, foresee higher growth. By 2030, tens of millions of robots could be working in factories, warehouses, hospitals, and homes. The International Federation of Robotics (IFR) expects the global installed base of industrial robots to keep hitting new records annually as adoption spreads to more sectors. After the record 3.5 million operational industrial robots reached in 2021 (World Robotics Report: “All-Time High” with Half a Million Robots Installed in one Year - International Federation of Robotics), this climbed to ~4.3 million by 2023 (Robots Among Us - The Global Robotics Market Growing Rapidly - Statzon Blog), and could double by the end of the decade if current trends hold. The global average robot density (robots per 10,000 manufacturing workers) already hit 162 in 2023, more than double the 74 per 10k seen in 2015 (China Overtakes Germany and Japan in Robot Density – IFR reports | Business Wire) (China Overtakes Germany and Japan in Robot Density – IFR reports | Business Wire). This density will continue to rise, particularly as China (currently 470 per 10k workers (China Overtakes Germany and Japan in Robot Density – IFR reports | Business Wire)) and other emerging markets automate further. China’s government aims to be a world leader in robot tech and is pushing towards a goal of 1,000 robots per 10k workers in some industries by 2025 (China Overtakes Germany and Japan in Robot Density – IFR reports | Business Wire) (China Overtakes Germany and Japan in Robot Density – IFR reports | Business Wire). We will likely see China and other Asian countries maintain dominance in unit demand, while North America and Europe invest in next-generation robotics (AI, specialized applications).

Market Growth Drivers (2025+):

  • Labor Shortages and Demographics: A key factor propelling robotics is the ongoing labor shortage in many economies and aging demographics. Countries like Japan, South Korea, Western Europe, and even China are grappling with shrinking working-age populations, which makes automation a necessity to sustain production levels. In sectors such as logistics, hospitality, and healthcare, employers face difficulty attracting workers for low-paying or strenuous jobs – creating a strong incentive to deploy service robots (from warehouse pallet movers to hotel delivery robots). The IFR identifies labor scarcity as a major driver for robotics going forward, noting that robots will be crucial to fill workforce gaps and maintain economic growth (International Federation of Robotics report highlights top 5 global ...). For instance, the care robotics market (robots assisting the elderly or disabled) is expected to grow as societies age. Similarly, in agriculture, chronic farm labor shortages may finally push autonomous tractors and harvesters into wider use by the late 2020s.
  • Technological Maturity and Cost Reduction: The 2020s will likely mirror the trajectory of personal computing or solar panels – as volumes increase, costs per robot come down. Already, the cost performance of robots has improved (costs remained roughly flat or declined in real terms, while capabilities increased). Economies of scale and better supply chains (especially with China’s entry into robot manufacturing) are expected to make robots more affordable for small businesses. Cheaper and more capable sensors and processors also reduce the cost of advanced models. By 2025–2030, we can expect a new generation of robots that are not only smarter but also cheaper to deploy and easier to program (vendors are intensely focused on “democratizing” robotics for wider adoption). This will open up new markets – e.g., smaller factories (which previously found robots too costly or complex) will adopt them, and new applications like robot baristas or fast-food kitchen robots might become economically viable at scale. Innovation will also continue to add capabilities – by 2030, we anticipate more versatile robots that can handle multiple tasks (addressing the current limitation where most robots are task-specific). Advances in AI could enable more general-purpose robots in controlled environments.
  • Expansion into New Industries: Up to 2025, robotics was heavily concentrated in industries like automotive, electronics, and logistics. The next five years should see broader industry penetration. For example, construction is ripe for automation – we may see robots for masonry, rebar tying, or drywall installation become commercially viable, addressing the construction labor crunch. Food processing and packaging is another growth area, with robots increasingly handling delicate food items with machine vision-guided grippers. Retail could see more inventory robots and autonomous checkout systems. Hospitals are likely to adopt more service robots for cleaning, telepresence, and patient support, building on the successful trials during the pandemic. Security and defense robotics will also grow (e.g. patrol robots, unmanned ground vehicles for military logistics) given increased interest in unmanned systems globally. In agriculture, if current pilot projects prove out, robotic weeders and pickers could start appearing on farms, especially given improvements in AI vision for fruit/vegetable identification. Each of these sectors represents a new avenue of growth that could make robotics even more ubiquitous by 2030.
  • Government Policies and Initiatives: Government support will play a significant role in shaping the robotics landscape. Many countries have national robotics strategies aimed at boosting innovation and adoption. China’s Five-Year Plan (2021–2025) explicitly prioritizes robotics – with targets to increase domestic robot density and support indigenous robot makers (Robotics Research: How Asia, Europe and America Invest - International Federation of Robotics) (Robotics Research: How Asia, Europe and America Invest - International Federation of Robotics). It budgeted funds for key robotics R&D (e.g. intelligent robots program with $45M focused on AI and frontier tech) (Robotics Research: How Asia, Europe and America Invest - International Federation of Robotics). Japan’s New Robot Strategy continues to invest in making Japan a “robot innovation hub,” focusing on areas like caregiving robots and agri-robots in addition to manufacturing (Robotics Research: How Asia, Europe and America Invest - International Federation of Robotics). South Korea has incentives for companies to automate and is funding next-gen robot tech (like AI, networked robots). The European Union through programs like Horizon Europe is funding robotics research in manufacturing and service domains, and individual countries like Germany and France have automation subsidies for SMEs. United States policy is a bit more fragmented, but through the NSF and NIST there are programs supporting advanced robotics research (for example, NIST grants for agile robotics in manufacturing) and through DARPA for defense robotics. Importantly, some governments offer financial incentives: e.g. tax credits or depreciation benefits for investing in automation (Italy had a super-amortization tax credit for robotics that spurred a 65% jump in installations in 2021) (World Robotics 2021 – Service Robots report released - International Federation of Robotics) (World Robotics 2021 – Service Robots report released - International Federation of Robotics). Such incentives are likely to continue or expand as nations vie to increase productivity. Additionally, infrastructure bills or recovery funds post-COVID often include Industry 4.0 and automation components, meaning public money will help SMEs adopt robots. On the regulatory side, governments are also working on standards and safety regulations to keep up with new robot types (for instance, updating traffic laws for delivery robots or labor regulations for human-robot collaboration). Generally, pro-automation policies and funding are expected to accelerate robotics adoption, while any restrictive regulations (such as overly stringent rules on AI in robots) could pose a risk. As of now, the policy environment appears largely supportive globally, as countries don’t want to fall behind in the “robotics race.”

Potential Challenges (2025+):

  • Economic Uncertainty and Cyclicality: The robotics market, especially industrial robots, has historically been cyclical – tied to capital investment cycles in manufacturing. If there is a global economic slowdown or recession in the late 2020s, companies may temporarily cut or delay automation investments (as happened in 2020 during the pandemic onset, and briefly in 2019 due to trade uncertainties). High interest rates or tight capital could also make financing robot purchases more difficult for smaller firms. While the overall trend is upward, we may see year-to-year volatility. For instance, after the huge 2021 rebound, growth in 2022 for industrial robots was modest (+2.8%) as some pent-up demand was satisfied (IFR World Robotics 2023 Key Takeaways). The industry will need to navigate these macro swings.
  • Workforce and Skills Gap: As mentioned, one of the biggest challenges is ensuring the workforce can keep up. There could be shortages of skilled robot technicians and engineers, which might slow deployments or make them more expensive. According to IFR, a lack of “knowledge-based capital” (skills, organizational know-how) can impede firms from realizing productivity benefits of new tech (Microsoft Word - IFR The Impact of Robots on Employment _7 April 2017 (FB Word 97-2003).doc) (Microsoft Word - IFR The Impact of Robots on Employment _7 April 2017 (FB Word 97-2003).doc). If companies cannot find or train staff to integrate and maintain robots, adoption will lag. This creates urgency for educational institutions to ramp up robotics and automation training, and for companies to reskill workers – efforts that are underway but need to scale further.
  • SME Adoption Hurdles: Small and medium enterprises (SMEs) have been slower to adopt robotics due to costs and complexity. In the future, if robotics providers don’t effectively address SME needs (with affordable, easy-to-use solutions), a large segment of the economy might remain unautomated. SMEs often have high mix/low volume production where traditional robots struggle. Solutions like cobots, easier programming, and rentable Robotics-as-a-Service models are trying to tackle this. The challenge will be to convince smaller firms of the ROI and to provide integration support at scale.
  • Safety, Ethics and Public Acceptance: As robots move into open environments (public spaces, roads, homes), ensuring safety and gaining public trust is paramount. High-profile accidents (for example, any incident with an autonomous vehicle or robot hurting someone) could lead to backlash or stricter regulations. The industry must continuously improve safety systems and adhere to standards. There are also ethical concerns – for instance, AI-driven robots making decisions (like care robots for the elderly, or armed security robots) raise questions about accountability and ethics. Regulators are already discussing frameworks for AI (the EU’s AI Act, etc.) that could impact robotics – e.g. classifying some robot uses as “high-risk” requiring special compliance. Striking the right balance between innovation and regulation will be an ongoing challenge.
  • Competition and Fragmentation: With the flood of new entrants and large players, the competitive landscape could become challenging. While competition spurs innovation, it can also lead to fragmentation – multiple platforms and lack of standards. If every vendor has proprietary systems, it may slow the creation of a cohesive ecosystem. The industry is addressing this through efforts like the Robot Operating System (ROS), an open-source middleware widely adopted in research and some commercial products, which could serve as a common platform. Nonetheless, users might face vendor lock-in or compatibility issues integrating multi-vendor robotic systems. Consolidation (mergers) might reduce fragmentation but also concentrate market power, affecting prices. It will be important for industry groups to develop interoperability standards so that, for example, a factory’s fleet management software can coordinate different brands of robots.
  • Geopolitical Factors: Global trade dynamics can influence robotics. For example, U.S.-China trade tensions have led to export controls on advanced semiconductors, which could impact the components available for robot manufacturers in China. Conversely, China’s push for self-reliance might result in domestic substitutes. Protectionism could affect where robots are made and sold – e.g., some countries might favor locally made robots via procurement or tariffs. However, robotics being a tool for competitiveness means most countries want access to the best robots, so open trade is generally beneficial. How geopolitical factors play out (e.g., if global supply chains bifurcate) is an uncertainty that could affect the robotics industry supply chain (most robots use globally sourced components like Harmonic Drive gears from Japan, servo motors from various countries, etc.).

Opportunities and Growth Enablers:

Despite the challenges, the opportunities on the horizon for robotics are vast:

  • Service Sector Automation: The service sector is much less automated than manufacturing – even modest increases in automation here could yield big productivity gains. We expect significant uptake of robots in healthcare (surgical robots, rehabilitation, hospital logistics), retail (inventory scanning, floor cleaning), hospitality (food prep robots, customer service kiosks), and building maintenance (cleaning and security robots). The COVID-19 pandemic already acted as a catalyst for many of these, and the trend will continue as the technology matures. For instance, the global cleaning robot market (including home and commercial cleaners) is forecast to reach $41.5B by 2030 (Cleaning Robot Market Size, Share & Growth [Latest]). Another example: surgical robotics is still in early growth – by 2030, surgical robot usage could expand beyond large hospitals into smaller regional hospitals and more specialties (orthopedics, neurosurgery, etc., not just general surgery), approaching an estimated ~$20–30B market size. Each new domain that robots successfully enter represents incremental growth.
  • Collaborative and Adaptive Robots: The push towards simpler, more adaptive robots will open new frontiers. If by late 2020s we have robots that can quickly be repurposed (maybe through AI learning new tasks via simulation), manufacturers could use the same robotic hardware for different products, increasing flexibility. This adaptability could entice industries with high product variability (apparel, custom machining, etc.) to automate. Mobile manipulators (robots that both move and manipulate) could address tasks like auto parts delivery and assembly in one system, which today might require separate AGVs and stationary arms. Small, human-scale bipedal or wheeled humanoid robots might start handling simple logistics in human-centric environments (carrying goods in a warehouse, restocking shelves during off-hours, etc.). Such versatile systems, if achieved, would significantly broaden the scope of automation.
  • Integration with AI Developments: The rapid progress in AI (especially in areas like deep learning and possibly neuromorphic computing or GPT-like models for decision-making) can supercharge robotics. By 2025-2030, we may see large AI models integrated in robots to give them more semantic understanding and reasoning – a robot might understand higher-level instructions (“organize these products by category”) and figure out the steps itself. If breakthroughs in AI continue (as suggested by the current momentum in the AI field), robots will become increasingly autonomous and capable. This could finally enable environments like “lights-out” factories – fully automated manufacturing lines that run unattended. It could also yield domestic robots beyond vacuum cleaners – perhaps a capable home assistant robot that can tidy rooms or sort laundry might appear on the market by the end of the decade, an oft-promised application that has been elusive due to AI and dexterity limits.
  • Sustainability and Green Economy: Interestingly, robotics will intersect with efforts to combat climate change and build a green economy. Robots are crucial in manufacturing electric vehicles, batteries, and solar panels (the clean tech manufacturing push will boost robot demand in those factories). Robots also help optimize energy use – modern robots are being designed for energy efficiency (regenerative drives, etc.) (Top 5 Robot Trends 2023 - International Federation of Robotics). Additionally, robots will be used for renewable energy maintenance (e.g., robots cleaning solar panels, inspecting wind turbines) and for environmental monitoring (drones monitoring forests or underwater robots studying coral reefs). The drive for energy efficiency in production (due to rising energy costs) also encourages automation, as robotics can enable processes (like precision welding or additive manufacturing) that minimize waste and energy use (Top 5 Robot Trends 2023 - International Federation of Robotics) (Top 5 Robot Trends 2023 - International Federation of Robotics). IFR named energy efficiency as a top trend – robots are now built with features like power-saving modes and energy recovery systems to align with sustainability goals (Top 5 Robot Trends 2023 - International Federation of Robotics). Companies seeking to meet carbon reduction targets might invest in robots to streamline processes and reduce scrap. Thus, the global shift towards sustainability could indirectly boost robotics adoption.
  • Government and Infrastructure Investments: Many countries are likely to include automation as part of their economic development plans. For example, U.S. initiatives to revitalize manufacturing (such as the CHIPS Act, which includes funds for semiconductor fabs – those fabs are highly automated with robotic wafer handlers, etc.) will increase demand for robotics in those new facilities. Infrastructure spending (building new roads, utilities) may involve robotic construction equipment. If governments introduce incentives like tax breaks or grants for automation (as some already do), it can significantly accelerate adoption, especially among mid-tier companies. National security considerations could also drive funding: countries may invest in domestic robotics capabilities for supply chain security, leading to direct government contracts for robotics companies (in defense, agriculture automation for food security, etc.).

In terms of market outlook numbers: Most analysts agree on strong growth. For instance, Mordor Intelligence projects a ~12% CAGR to $163B by 2032 for industrial robotics alone (Industrial Robotics Market Size, Share, Industry Forecast 2032), and Allied Market Research projects ~27.7% CAGR for the overall robotics market from 2021 to 2030 (reaching $149.9B by 2030) (Global Robotics Market Expected to Reach $149.9 Billion by 2030). While the exact figures vary, the consensus is that the 2020s will see at least a doubling or tripling of the market size by 2030. The fastest growth is expected in service robots for retail, healthcare, and logistics, which are starting from a smaller base than industrial robots but could eventually overtake industrial in revenue. In fact, Statista forecasts that by mid-decade, service robotics will dominate the market – projecting $40.6B out of $50.8B total in 2025 to be service robots (Robotics - Worldwide | Statista Market Forecast). Beyond 2025, if even a portion of consumer-facing robots (like personal assistants or automated vehicles) take off, that could further amplify growth.

Key Takeaways for the Future: Robots will increasingly become a general-purpose technology permeating many aspects of economy and society. We expect an era of more ubiquitous robotics – not just hidden in factories, but visible in daily life (delivery bots on sidewalks, cleaning bots in offices, robotic kiosks at stores). The notion of robots “among us” will be normalized as the technology improves interaction capabilities. Businesses that have held off on automation will find it harder to ignore the productivity advantages as their competitors automate. At the same time, society will face important adjustments: workforce training, ethical guidelines, and possibly new economic models if automation significantly boosts output. Policymakers might explore concepts like robotics taxes or universal basic income in the long run if productivity soars – these debates have started in some cities (e.g. a proposed robot tax in Seoul to slow automation was discussed but not implemented).

One can also anticipate convergence of technologies: Robotics will benefit from advances in adjacent fields like quantum computing (for better AI optimization), materials science (new lightweight, strong materials for building robots), and battery technology (solid-state batteries could give mobile robots much longer operating time). Conversely, robotics is enabling other technologies – e.g. robots are essential to precision manufacturing of next-gen electronics and to handling dangerous tasks in nuclear fusion experiments or space exploration.

In summary, the 2025–2030 outlook for the physical robotics market is one of robust growth and widening impact. Barring unforeseen obstacles, we will see more robots, doing more tasks, in more places than ever before. Companies and countries that leverage this trend are likely to reap economic benefits in productivity and innovation. Those that lag may face competitiveness issues. The trajectory from 2020 to 2025 has been steep, and all signs point to an even steeper curve ahead, as robotics truly comes of age as a cornerstone of the modern economy.

Sources:

  1. Statista – Worldwide robotics market revenue and industrial robot market size (Industrial robots: worldwide market size | Statista) (Global Industrial Robotics Market Size to Reach USD 120.31)
  2. Statzon / Market Research Future – Global robotics market value (2023) and CAGR to 2030 (Robots Among Us - The Global Robotics Market Growing Rapidly - Statzon Blog)
  3. Mordor Intelligence – Robotics market forecast 2025 and 2030 (market expected to reach $100.6B by 2025) (机器人-市场占有率分析、产业趋势/统计、成长预测(2025-2030 ...)
  4. International Federation of Robotics (IFR) – World Robotics 2022 report (industrial robot installations) (World Robotics Report: “All-Time High” with Half a Million Robots Installed in one Year - International Federation of Robotics); IFR World Robotics 2021 – Service Robots (service robot turnover in 2020) (World Robotics 2021 – Service Robots report released - International Federation of Robotics); IFR press release 2022 (service robots sales +37% in 2021) (Sales of Robots for the Service Sector Grew by 37% Worldwide - International Federation of Robotics)
  5. IFR – Statistics on service robot units and growth by application in 2021 (Sales of Robots for the Service Sector Grew by 37% Worldwide - International Federation of Robotics) (Sales of Robots for the Service Sector Grew by 37% Worldwide - International Federation of Robotics)
  6. Exploding Topics (2024 Robotics Stats) – Service robot revenue by region (2023) (39+ Robotics Industry Stats & Trends (2024)) (39+ Robotics Industry Stats & Trends (2024)); Vision-guided robotics market stats (39+ Robotics Industry Stats & Trends (2024))
  7. IFR – World Robotics 2022 press: Asia’s share of industrial installations (2021: 74%) (World Robotics Report: “All-Time High” with Half a Million Robots Installed in one Year - International Federation of Robotics); China’s installations 2021 (World Robotics Report: “All-Time High” with Half a Million Robots Installed in one Year - International Federation of Robotics)
  8. Statzon (IFR 2023 insights) – Industrial robot regional shares 2022 (Asia 73%, Europe 15%, Americas 10%) (IFR World Robotics 2023 Key Takeaways); Top countries installations 2022 (IFR World Robotics 2023 Key Takeaways); Cobot share 10% in 2022 (55k units) (IFR World Robotics 2023 Key Takeaways)
  9. IFR – Top 5 Robot Trends 2023 (IFR commentary on AI, connectivity, etc.) (Top 5 Robot Trends 2023 - International Federation of Robotics) (Top 5 Robot Trends 2023 - International Federation of Robotics); (energy efficiency trend) (Top 5 Robot Trends 2023 - International Federation of Robotics)
  10. Nextgov/CSET – Robotics patents leadership (China 43% of 2019 patents vs US 17%) (Study: China Far Outpacing U.S. in Worldwide Robotics Patents - Nextgov/FCW) (Study: China Far Outpacing U.S. in Worldwide Robotics Patents - Nextgov/FCW); Areas of patent strength by country (Study: China Far Outpacing U.S. in Worldwide Robotics Patents - Nextgov/FCW)
  11. Crunchbase/TechCrunch – VC funding in robotics ($18.5B in 2022, $10.6B in 2023) (State of Robotics in 2024: The Rise of Vertical Robotics)
  12. F-Prime Capital State of Robotics – $90B invested in last 5 years; share to AVs, Western vs Asia investment split (Robotics – Has the Time Finally Arrived for Venture Capital? • F-Prime Capital) (Robotics – Has the Time Finally Arrived for Venture Capital? • F-Prime Capital)
  13. CNBC / Press release – Amazon’s acquisition of iRobot for $1.7B (2022) (Amazon and iRobot sign an agreement for Amazon to acquire iRobot)
  14. Hyundai Motor Group – Acquisition of Boston Dynamics for $1.1B (2021) (Hyundai Buys Robot Maker Boston Dynamics, Valuing Company at ...)
  15. The Robot Report – Zebra’s acquisition of Fetch for $290M (2021) (Fetch Robotics acquired by Zebra Technologies for $290M)
  16. Statista – Robot vacuum market share (iRobot 46% in 2020) (Robotic vacuum cleaner market share 2020 | Statista)
  17. Oliver Wyman – Intuitive Surgical >66% market share in robotic surgery (Positioning The Industry For Growth In Robotic Surgery)
  18. IFR – Impact of automation on productivity (Barclays, BCG studies) (Microsoft Word - IFR The Impact of Robots on Employment _7 April 2017 (FB Word 97-2003).doc) (Microsoft Word - IFR The Impact of Robots on Employment _7 April 2017 (FB Word 97-2003).doc)
  19. NBER/Brookings – Robots and employment impact per robot (Robots and Jobs in the US Labor Market | NBER) (Understanding the impact of automation on workers, jobs, and wages)
  20. BusinessWire (IFR) – Global robot density record 2023 (162 per 10k) (China Overtakes Germany and Japan in Robot Density – IFR reports | Business Wire) (China Overtakes Germany and Japan in Robot Density – IFR reports | Business Wire); Top countries robot density (Korea 1012, Singapore 770, China 470, Germany 429, Japan 419) (China Overtakes Germany and Japan in Robot Density – IFR reports | Business Wire) (China Overtakes Germany and Japan in Robot Density – IFR reports | Business Wire)
  21. IFR – Reshoring trend (robots enabling EV battery production locally) (Top 5 Robot Trends 2023 - International Federation of Robotics); Europe/Japan automation targets (Robotics Research: How Asia, Europe and America Invest - International Federation of Robotics).
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